Stal Rzeszow 1-3 Miedz Legnica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.6
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.34
6+ Goals
8%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 29% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
30%
+8.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
34%
Away Win
43%
-9.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.1pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Rzeszow EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Miedz Legnica EU Bookmakers 48%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +20%
1.55/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.82
+32% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +30%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Rzeszow
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Miedz Legnica
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.08.2023 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 2-1 HT 2-0 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Rzeszow
1-3
AWAY Miedz Legnica
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Stal Rzeszow vs Miedz Legnica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miedz Legnica saw off Stal Rzeszow 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Miedz Legnica found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stal Rzeszow had 49% of the ball to Miedz Legnica's 51%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Stal Rzeszow vs Miedz Legnica?

Stal Rzeszow 1-3 Miedz Legnica in the Poland - 1st Division on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Rzeszow vs Miedz Legnica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stal Rzeszow win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stal Rzeszow 38%, draw 28%, Miedz Legnica 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stal Rzeszow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL1 More Poland - 1st Division
1 Mar 2024
22:30 Tychy 71 vs Arka Gdynia Analysis →