Rostov 2-0 Krylya Sovetov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 1 Mar 2024

Rostov
2-0 HT 1-0
Krylya Sovetov
📅01/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2023/2024

Rostov vs Krylya Sovetov Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.57
6+ Goals
12%
14.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.57 — our 24% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.92
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
15%
4.69
X/2
7%
6.83
X/X
9%
4.6
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
25.5
2/2
13%
4.94
2/X
10%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 10% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rostov v Krylya Sovetov — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.80/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.45
+24% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
19.5 Crosses 17.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Rostov vs Krylya Sovetov Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.15 xG 1.34
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
323 Passes 319
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.08.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 5-1 HT 3-1 Rostov Rostov RUS
12.11.2022 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-3 HT 0-2 Rostov Rostov RUS
17.09.2022 Rostov Rostov 2-1 HT 1-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
06.04.2022 Rostov Rostov 1-0 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
18.09.2021 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 4-2 HT 1-1 Rostov Rostov RUS
04.07.2020 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-0 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS

Rostov 2-0 Krylya Sovetov — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
2-0
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
0.74 xG 0.45
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
315 Passes 292
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
33 Box Touches 12
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Krylya Sovetov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov saw off Krylya Sovetov 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rostov as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Rostov had 52% of the ball to Krylya Sovetov's 48%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 0.74 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rostov had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rostov and 1.83 for Krylya Sovetov.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Krylya Sovetov?

Rostov 2-0 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Premier League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Krylya Sovetov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rostov 47%, draw 27%, Krylya Sovetov 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rostov) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rostov) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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