Krka 3-1 Triglav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 1 Mar 2024

Krka
3-1 HT 1-0
Triglav
📅01/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
39%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-9.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
39%
Away Win
27%
+11.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.0pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krka EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Triglav EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.03/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/2.04
+23% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krka
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Triglav
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2023 Triglav Triglav 0-1 HT 0-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
26.11.2022 Triglav Triglav 0-4 HT 0-4 Krka Krka SLVN2
14.08.2022 Krka Krka 2-0 HT 2-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
19.11.2021 Triglav Triglav 2-1 HT 1-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
25.05.2014 Krka Krka 3-0 HT 2-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krka
3-1
AWAY Triglav
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Krka vs Triglav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krka beat Triglav 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 39% — and on the day Krka made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Krka had 50% of the ball to Triglav's 50%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Krka had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Krka and 0.40 for Triglav.

What was the final score of Krka vs Triglav?

Krka 3-1 Triglav in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krka vs Triglav?

Before kick-off our model rated an Triglav win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Krka 37%, draw 23%, Triglav 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Triglav) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Triglav) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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