Aluminij 2-0 Mura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 1 Mar 2024

Aluminij
2-0 HT 0-0
Mura
📅01/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Slovenia - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Aluminij vs Mura Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.08
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.8
6+ Goals
10%
16.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aluminij v Mura — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminij EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Mura EU Bookmakers 43%
-17% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +5%
0.91/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.07
-26% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
284 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Aluminij vs Mura Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminij
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Mura
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Mura Mura 1-0 HT 0-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
25.08.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 0-1 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
18.04.2022 Mura Mura 3-0 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
19.02.2022 Aluminij Aluminij 0-1 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
16.10.2021 Mura Mura 3-2 HT 1-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
08.08.2021 Aluminij Aluminij 1-1 HT 1-1 Mura Mura SLVN

Aluminij 2-0 Mura — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aluminij
2-0
AWAY Mura
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aluminij vs Mura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminij beat Mura 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Aluminij found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aluminij had 51% of the ball to Mura's 49%, shots finished 10-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mura led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Aluminij and 1.67 for Mura.

What was the final score of Aluminij vs Mura?

Aluminij 2-0 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminij vs Mura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aluminij win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Aluminij 36%, draw 29%, Mura 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/29/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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