Kasımpaşa 0-0 Sivasspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.67
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.67 — our 26% vs market 22.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.62
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
12%
4.48
X/2
9%
7.55
X/X
10%
4.97
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
15%
5.42
2/X
9%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.78/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.37
+11% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
23.7 Crosses 16.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kasımpaşa
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sivasspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.12 xG 1.57
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
344 Passes 320
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
16.05.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-2 HT 0-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
24.12.2022 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-2 HT 1-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
07.05.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-3 HT 0-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
18.12.2021 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-3 HT 1-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
15.05.2021 Sivasspor Sivasspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kasımpaşa
0-0
AWAY Sivasspor
1.04 xG 0.60
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
482 Passes 212
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 10
29 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kasımpaşa vs Sivasspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kasımpaşa and Sivasspor fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Kasımpaşa at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kasımpaşa had 66% of the ball to Sivasspor's 34%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.04 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kasımpaşa and 1.50 for Sivasspor.

What was the final score of Kasımpaşa vs Sivasspor?

Kasımpaşa 0-0 Sivasspor in the Turkey - Super League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kasımpaşa vs Sivasspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kasımpaşa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kasımpaşa 44%, draw 26%, Sivasspor 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Kasımpaşa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kasımpaşa) ✓ BTTS No
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