Cerro vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cerro v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
Cerro vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Progreso
URU2
2-0
HT 1-0
Progreso
URU
2-0
HT 2-0
Cerro
URU
1-1
HT 1-1
Cerro
URU
Cerro 2-3 Progreso — Actual Match Statistics
Progreso edged past Cerro 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Progreso found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cerro had 36% of the ball to Progreso's 64%, shots finished 9-16.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cerro and 1.00 for Progreso.
What was the final score of Cerro vs Progreso?
Cerro 2-3 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cerro vs Progreso?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cerro 40%, draw 29%, Progreso 31%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.