Cerro vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Cerro v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
Cerro vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Cerro 2-3 Progreso — Actual Match Statistics
Progreso found just enough to beat Cerro 3-2 away from home. From 2-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
Our pre-match lean was Cerro at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
By the numbers, Progreso saw more of the ball, 64% to 36%, shots finished 9-16.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Cerro against 1.00 for Progreso.
Cerro vs Progreso Result & Final Score
Cerro 2 - 3 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Cerro vs Progreso Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cerro 41%, draw 30%, Progreso 28%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.