Metropolitanos 1-1 Carabobo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 1 Mar 2024

📅01/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.7pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.9pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Carabobo EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -7%
1.60/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.70
+3% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 68%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
19.4 Crosses 19.3
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metropolitanos
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Carabobo
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
0.35 xG 0.62
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
180 Passes 447
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
6 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
06.08.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 2-2 HT 2-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
08.04.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-0 HT 1-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
20.10.2022 Carabobo Carabobo 0-0 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
21.08.2022 Carabobo Carabobo 2-0 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
01.04.2022 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metropolitanos
1-1
AWAY Carabobo
1.25 xG 0.62
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
329 Passes 206
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 7
29 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Metropolitanos vs Carabobo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metropolitanos and Carabobo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Metropolitanos had 60% of the ball to Carabobo's 40%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.25 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Metropolitanos and 0.80 for Carabobo.

What was the final score of Metropolitanos vs Carabobo?

Metropolitanos 1-1 Carabobo in the Venezuela - Premier League on 01/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metropolitanos vs Carabobo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metropolitanos win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Metropolitanos 37%, draw 31%, Carabobo 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Metropolitanos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Metropolitanos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →