Breitenrain 3-2 Baden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.8
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
21%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
52%
+7.4pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.7pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-3.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breitenrain EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Baden EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.61/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.75
-15% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breitenrain
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Baden
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
15.04.2023 Baden Baden 4-1 HT 1-1 Breitenrain İSV1Y
08.10.2022 Breitenrain 0-3 HT 0-1 Baden Baden İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breitenrain
3-2
AWAY Baden
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Breitenrain vs Baden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breitenrain edged past Baden 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Breitenrain as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Breitenrain had 52% of the ball to Baden's 48%, shots finished 18-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Baden led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Breitenrain and 3.50 for Baden.

What was the final score of Breitenrain vs Baden?

Breitenrain 3-2 Baden in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breitenrain vs Baden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Breitenrain win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Breitenrain 59%, draw 20%, Baden 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breitenrain), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Breitenrain) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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