Inter U20 2-1 Fiorentina U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.8pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter U20 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.32/2.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.23
+37% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter U20
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Fiorentina U20
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 0-2 HT 0-0 Inter U20 Inter U20 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter U20
2-1
AWAY Fiorentina U20
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inter U20 vs Fiorentina U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter U20 squeezed past Fiorentina U20 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Inter U20 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Inter U20 had 51% of the ball to Fiorentina U20's 49%, shots finished 12-13.

What was the final score of Inter U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Inter U20 2-1 Fiorentina U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Inter U20 43%, draw 29%, Fiorentina U20 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter U20) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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