Lazio (K) 3-0 Sampdoria (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
67%
-2.2pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.2pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+3.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.6pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lazio (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.68/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/2.12
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.7
34.0 Crosses 9.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lazio (K)
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Sampdoria (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.96 xG 0.77
64% Ball Possession 36%
24 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
326 Passes 160
82% Pass Accuracy 62%
33 Box Touches 14
31 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) İTKSA
15.09.2024 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lazio (K)
3-0
AWAY Sampdoria (K)
3.14 xG 0.36
63% Ball Possession 37%
24 Total Shots 6
12 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
448 Passes 223
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
38 Box Touches 4
27 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lazio (K) vs Sampdoria (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lazio (K) ran out comfortable winners over Sampdoria (K) 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lazio (K) as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lazio (K) had 63% of the ball to Sampdoria (K)'s 37%, shots finished 24-6, expected goals 3.14 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lazio (K) and 0.50 for Sampdoria (K).

What was the final score of Lazio (K) vs Sampdoria (K)?

Lazio (K) 3-0 Sampdoria (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lazio (K) vs Sampdoria (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lazio (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Lazio (K) 64%, draw 19%, Sampdoria (K) 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lazio (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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