Incheon United 2-0 Suwon Bluewings — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 1 Mar 2025

Incheon United
2-0 HT 0-0
Suwon Bluewings
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
South Kore - K League Challenge – 2025

Incheon United vs Suwon Bluewings Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.87
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.64
6+ Goals
11%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 30% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-6.9pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.5pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Incheon United v Suwon Bluewings — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.5

Incheon United vs Suwon Bluewings Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.96 xG 1.58
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
351 Passes 349
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 2-0 HT 1-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
28.06.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 3-2 HT 2-2 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
11.06.2023 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 0-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
05.05.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 0-1 HT 0-1 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
11.09.2022 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 3-3 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
03.07.2022 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 0-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK

Incheon United 2-0 Suwon Bluewings — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
2-0
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
442 Passes 367
89% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Suwon Bluewings
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United got the better of Suwon Bluewings 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 33% / 35% — and on the day Incheon United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Incheon United had 55% of the ball to Suwon Bluewings's 45%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Incheon United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Incheon United and 1.00 for Suwon Bluewings.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Suwon Bluewings?

Incheon United 2-0 Suwon Bluewings in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Suwon Bluewings?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 32%, draw 33%, Suwon Bluewings 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Suwon Bluewings), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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