PEC Zwolle (K) 2-2 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.64
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
57%
-15.5pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.5pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.1pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PEC Zwolle (K) EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.36/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/4.15
-35% / +135% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -64%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
418 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 14.0
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PEC Zwolle (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
415 Passes 242
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
13 Crosses 23
16.11.2024 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 0-3 HT 0-3 PEC Zwolle (K) PEC Zwolle (K) HOLK1
30.03.2024 PEC Zwolle (K) PEC Zwolle (K) 3-1 HT 1-1 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PEC Zwolle (K)
2-2
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
480 Passes 176
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
23 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PEC Zwolle (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PEC Zwolle (K) and Excelsior Barendrecht (K) shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was PEC Zwolle (K) at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, PEC Zwolle (K) had 69% of the ball to Excelsior Barendrecht (K)'s 31%, shots finished 19-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, PEC Zwolle (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for PEC Zwolle (K) and 0.50 for Excelsior Barendrecht (K).

What was the final score of PEC Zwolle (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)?

PEC Zwolle (K) 2-2 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PEC Zwolle (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a PEC Zwolle (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split PEC Zwolle (K) 41%, draw 31%, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PEC Zwolle (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PEC Zwolle (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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