FK Kosice 3-2 Zemplin Michalovce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.1
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 30% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-7.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Kosice EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Zemplin Michalovce EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.32/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.25
-30% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 71%
34.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
21.0 Crosses 17.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Kosice
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Zemplin Michalovce
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.76 xG 1.22
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
244 Passes 329
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 3-2 FK Kosice FK Kosice SLVK
18.05.2024 FK Kosice FK Kosice 2-0 HT 1-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
15.03.2024 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Kosice FK Kosice SLVK
01.12.2023 FK Kosice FK Kosice 2-1 HT 1-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
25.08.2023 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 0-2 HT 0-2 FK Kosice FK Kosice SLVK
24.03.2021 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 1-1 HT 0-1 FK Kosice FK Kosice SLOVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Kosice
3-2
AWAY Zemplin Michalovce
5.00 xG 1.57
73% Ball Possession 27%
28 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 5
13 Corners 1
506 Passes 147
87% Pass Accuracy 67%
59 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FK Kosice vs Zemplin Michalovce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Kosice nicked a narrow win over Zemplin Michalovce 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had FK Kosice as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FK Kosice had 73% of the ball to Zemplin Michalovce's 27%, shots finished 28-7, expected goals 5.00 to 1.57 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold FK Kosice's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Kosice had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FK Kosice and 1.00 for Zemplin Michalovce.

What was the final score of FK Kosice vs Zemplin Michalovce?

FK Kosice 3-2 Zemplin Michalovce in the Slovakia Super League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Kosice vs Zemplin Michalovce?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Kosice win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FK Kosice 43%, draw 30%, Zemplin Michalovce 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Kosice), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Kosice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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