AS Marsa 1-1 Moknine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.53
No
62%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-8.6pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
+2.9pp
62%
BTTS No
64%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Marsa EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Moknine EU Bookmakers 15%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.67/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.54
+13% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
408 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Marsa
1-1
AWAY Moknine
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AS Marsa vs Moknine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Marsa and Moknine couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. AS Marsa carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, AS Marsa had 61% of the ball to Moknine's 39%, shots finished 9-9.

What was the final score of AS Marsa vs Moknine?

AS Marsa 1-1 Moknine in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Marsa vs Moknine?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Marsa win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split AS Marsa 57%, draw 25%, Moknine 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AS Marsa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AS Marsa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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