Daegu 1-0 Hwaseong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
3.27
6+ Goals
9%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 34% vs market 23.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.4pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daegu EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 13.6
Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daegu
1-0
AWAY Hwaseong
57% Ball Possession 43%
6 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
378 Passes 250
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Daegu vs Hwaseong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daegu edged past Hwaseong 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Daegu as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Daegu had 57% of the ball to Hwaseong's 43%, shots finished 6-11.

What was the final score of Daegu vs Hwaseong?

Daegu 1-0 Hwaseong in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daegu vs Hwaseong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daegu win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Daegu 48%, draw 28%, Hwaseong 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Daegu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Daegu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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