Adana 01 Futbol Kulübü 1-1 GMG Kastamonuspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
18%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
49%
+5.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
18%
Away Win
24%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adana 01 Futbol Kulübü EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor EU Bookmakers 28%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -19%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/1.33
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adana 01 Futbol Kulübü
0W-1D-2L
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
19.10.2025 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Adana 01 Futbol Kulübü Adana 01 Futbol Kulübü T2L-B
16.02.2025 Adana 01 Futbol Kulübü Adana 01 Futbol Kulübü 0-0 HT 0-0 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor T2L-K
06.10.2024 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 2-0 Adana 01 Futbol Kulübü Adana 01 Futbol Kulübü T2L-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adana 01 Futbol Kulübü
1-1
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor
60% Ball Possession 40%
27 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 1
18 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Adana 01 Futbol Kulübü vs GMG Kastamonuspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adana 01 Futbol Kulübü and GMG Kastamonuspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Adana 01 Futbol Kulübü at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Adana 01 Futbol Kulübü had 60% of the ball to GMG Kastamonuspor's 40%, shots finished 27-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, GMG Kastamonuspor led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Adana 01 Futbol Kulübü and 1.00 for GMG Kastamonuspor.

What was the final score of Adana 01 Futbol Kulübü vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

Adana 01 Futbol Kulübü 1-1 GMG Kastamonuspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adana 01 Futbol Kulübü vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adana 01 Futbol Kulübü win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Adana 01 Futbol Kulübü 55%, draw 28%, GMG Kastamonuspor 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Adana 01 Futbol Kulübü), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Adana 01 Futbol Kulübü) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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