Basford United 3-1 Worksop Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
46%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+5.7pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.2pp
46%
Away Win
57%
-10.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basford United EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Worksop Town EU Bookmakers 62%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.08/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.99
-7% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -1%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
214 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basford United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Worksop Town
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.12.2023 Worksop Town Worksop Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Basford United Basford United İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basford United
3-1
AWAY Worksop Town
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 11
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Basford United vs Worksop Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basford United beat Worksop Town 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Worksop Town at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Basford United had 51% of the ball to Worksop Town's 49%, shots finished 9-11.

What was the final score of Basford United vs Worksop Town?

Basford United 3-1 Worksop Town in the England - Non League Premier on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basford United vs Worksop Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Worksop Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Basford United 26%, draw 27%, Worksop Town 46%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Worksop Town), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Worksop Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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