Gainsborough Trinity 2-1 Stafford Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Stafford Rangers EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
2.29/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.44
+22% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Stafford Rangers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
45% Ball Possession 55%
3 Total Shots 5
0 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
26.12.2023 Stafford Rangers Stafford Rangers 4-0 HT 2-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
07.01.2023 Stafford Rangers Stafford Rangers 3-4 HT 1-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
20.08.2022 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 0-0 HT 0-0 Stafford Rangers Stafford Rangers İNGNLP
29.01.2022 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-1 HT 0-0 Stafford Rangers Stafford Rangers İNGNLP
16.10.2021 Stafford Rangers Stafford Rangers 0-0 HT 0-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
2-1
AWAY Stafford Rangers
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gainsborough Trinity vs Stafford Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainsborough Trinity nicked a narrow win over Stafford Rangers 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gainsborough Trinity as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gainsborough Trinity had 49% of the ball to Stafford Rangers's 51%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gainsborough Trinity and 1.60 for Stafford Rangers.

What was the final score of Gainsborough Trinity vs Stafford Rangers?

Gainsborough Trinity 2-1 Stafford Rangers in the England - Non League Premier on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainsborough Trinity vs Stafford Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gainsborough Trinity win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Gainsborough Trinity 49%, draw 25%, Stafford Rangers 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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