Matlock Town 1-2 Ilkeston Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.23
Over Pick
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
38%
4-5
30%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+3.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
-1.0pp
39%
BTTS No
38%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matlock Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 37%
+13% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.67/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.64
+6% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
361 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matlock Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ilkeston Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
26.12.2023 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Matlock Town
1-2
AWAY Ilkeston Town
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Matlock Town vs Ilkeston Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilkeston Town edged past Matlock Town 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Ilkeston Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Matlock Town had 46% of the ball to Ilkeston Town's 54%, shots finished 12-12.

What was the final score of Matlock Town vs Ilkeston Town?

Matlock Town 1-2 Ilkeston Town in the England - Non League Premier on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matlock Town vs Ilkeston Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ilkeston Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Matlock Town 35%, draw 28%, Ilkeston Town 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilkeston Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ilkeston Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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