Plymouth Parkway 1-0 Poole Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.9pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Parkway EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Poole Town EU Bookmakers 32%
-15% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
1.84/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.94
+5% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Parkway
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Poole Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2023 Poole Town Poole Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
28.01.2023 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 4-0 HT 3-0 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Plymouth Parkway vs Poole Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plymouth Parkway squeezed past Poole Town 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Plymouth Parkway as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Plymouth Parkway had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Plymouth Parkway and 0.00 for Poole Town.

What was the final score of Plymouth Parkway vs Poole Town?

Plymouth Parkway 1-0 Poole Town in the England - Non League Premier on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Parkway vs Poole Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plymouth Parkway win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Parkway 49%, draw 24%, Poole Town 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Plymouth Parkway) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Plymouth Parkway) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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