Vaduz 1-0 Thun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 1 Apr 2024

Vaduz
1-0 HT 1-0
Thun
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Switzerland Challenge League – 2023/2024

Vaduz vs Thun Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
39%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.79
2-3 Goals
36%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.82
6+ Goals
12%
7.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-7.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.4pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vaduz v Thun — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vaduz EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Thun EU Bookmakers 50%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.58/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.76
+10% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
12.8 Crosses 16.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Vaduz vs Thun Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vaduz
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Thun
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.73 xG 1.97
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
206 Passes 404
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Thun Thun 2-1 HT 1-1 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
01.10.2023 Vaduz Vaduz 1-1 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV2
07.05.2023 Thun Thun 3-3 HT 3-2 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
12.02.2023 Vaduz Vaduz 0-3 HT 0-1 Thun Thun İSV2
26.11.2022 Thun Thun 1-1 HT 0-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
14.08.2022 Vaduz Vaduz 2-4 HT 0-1 Thun Thun İSV2

Vaduz 1-0 Thun — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vaduz
1-0
AWAY Thun
1.47 xG 0.37
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
230 Passes 364
69% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 15
8 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vaduz vs Thun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vaduz nicked a narrow win over Thun 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Vaduz made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Vaduz had 41% of the ball to Thun's 59%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 1.47 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vaduz and 2.33 for Thun.

What was the final score of Vaduz vs Thun?

Vaduz 1-0 Thun in the Switzerland Challenge League on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vaduz vs Thun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vaduz 34%, draw 27%, Thun 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Thun) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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