Vikingur R. 1-1 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Super Cup, 1 Apr 2024

Vikingur R.
1-1 HT 1-1
Valur
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Iceland - Super Cup – 2024

Vikingur R. vs Valur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.41
No
43%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.3pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.1pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.4pp
43%
BTTS No
33%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vikingur R. v Valur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Vikingur R. vs Valur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vikingur R.
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Valur
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.84 xG 0.77
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
347 Passes 349
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Box Touches 17
33 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 5-1 HT 1-1 Valur Valur İZL
20.08.2023 Valur Valur 0-4 HT 0-2 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
29.05.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-3 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZL
18.03.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 0-1 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZLK
05.10.2022 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 3-2 HT 0-2 Valur Valur İZL
22.08.2022 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-2 HT 2-1 Valur Valur İZL

Vikingur R. 1-1 Valur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vikingur R.
1-1
AWAY Valur
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vikingur R. vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vikingur R. and Valur shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Vikingur R. had 48% of the ball to Valur's 52%, shots finished 11-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Vikingur R. and 1.50 for Valur.

What was the final score of Vikingur R. vs Valur?

Vikingur R. 1-1 Valur in the Iceland - Super Cup on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vikingur R. vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vikingur R. 40%, draw 30%, Valur 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vikingur R.), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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