Phönix Lübeck 2-3 Hannover 96 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.61
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.39
No
47%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.5pp
47%
BTTS No
32%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hannover 96 II EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -9%
1.89/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.82
+29% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -25%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phönix Lübeck
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Hannover 96 II
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2023 Hannover 96 II Hannover 96 II 3-2 HT 2-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
23.04.2023 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 4-4 HT 2-4 Hannover 96 II Hannover 96 II ALMBÖL
15.10.2022 Hannover 96 II Hannover 96 II 2-2 HT 1-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Phönix Lübeck
2-3
AWAY Hannover 96 II
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Phönix Lübeck vs Hannover 96 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hannover 96 II squeezed past Phönix Lübeck 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Hannover 96 II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Phönix Lübeck had 46% of the ball to Hannover 96 II's 54%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hannover 96 II led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Phönix Lübeck and 3.00 for Hannover 96 II.

What was the final score of Phönix Lübeck vs Hannover 96 II?

Phönix Lübeck 2-3 Hannover 96 II in the Germany - Regional League on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phönix Lübeck vs Hannover 96 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Phönix Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Phönix Lübeck 40%, draw 23%, Hannover 96 II 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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