Aurora 4-2 Blooming — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
14%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-4.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Blooming EU Bookmakers 21%
-13% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -2%
1.63/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.24
+20% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
23.5 Crosses 13.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aurora
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Blooming
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.81 xG 1.71
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
328 Passes 235
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Blooming Blooming 1-0 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
24.11.2023 Aurora Aurora 3-1 HT 1-1 Blooming Blooming BOLİ
21.05.2023 Blooming Blooming 2-1 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
19.09.2021 Aurora Aurora 2-0 HT 1-0 Blooming Blooming BOLİ
27.12.2020 Aurora Aurora 3-2 HT 1-2 Blooming Blooming BOLİ
08.03.2020 Blooming Blooming 4-0 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
4-2
AWAY Blooming
2.69 xG 0.87
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
326 Passes 134
83% Pass Accuracy 60%
33 Box Touches 5
32 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Blooming
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora got the better of Blooming 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aurora as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Aurora had 65% of the ball to Blooming's 35%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 2.69 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aurora and 1.67 for Blooming.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Blooming?

Aurora 4-2 Blooming in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Blooming?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Aurora 54%, draw 23%, Blooming 23%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aurora), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aurora) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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