HB Koge 5-0 AC Horsens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 1 Apr 2024

HB Koge
5-0 HT 1-0
AC Horsens
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2023/2024

HB Koge vs AC Horsens Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.0
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.36
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
23.6
1/X
5%
13.45
X/1
13%
6.49
X/2
12%
4.89
X/X
13%
5.27
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
20%
2.95
2/X
8%
13.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.6 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

HB Koge v AC Horsens — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HB Koge EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Horsens EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.45/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.10
+9% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
309 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 78%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
16.0 Crosses 17.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4

HB Koge vs AC Horsens Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HB Koge
3W-0D-3L
AWAY AC Horsens
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.94 xG 1.84
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
326 Passes 330
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.11.2023 HB Koge HB Koge 1-4 HT 1-2 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
04.08.2023 AC Horsens AC Horsens 2-0 HT 2-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
01.11.2021 HB Koge HB Koge 2-0 HT 1-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN1
23.07.2021 AC Horsens AC Horsens 0-2 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
29.04.2012 HB Koge HB Koge 2-1 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN
26.04.2012 AC Horsens AC Horsens 1-0 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAK

HB Koge 5-0 AC Horsens — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HB Koge
5-0
AWAY AC Horsens
1.53 xG 1.47
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
438 Passes 422
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH HB Koge vs AC Horsens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HB Koge cruised past AC Horsens 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was AC Horsens at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HB Koge had 50% of the ball to AC Horsens's 50%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 1.53 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for HB Koge and 1.33 for AC Horsens.

What was the final score of HB Koge vs AC Horsens?

HB Koge 5-0 AC Horsens in the Denmark 1st Division on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HB Koge vs AC Horsens?

Before kick-off our model rated an AC Horsens win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split HB Koge 32%, draw 26%, AC Horsens 42%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (AC Horsens), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AC Horsens) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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