Emelec 0-0 Independiente Del Valle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 1 Apr 2024

Emelec
0-0 HT 0-0
Independiente Del Valle
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Emelec vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.78
Over 2.5
38%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.75
No
59%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+2.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-4.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
52%
+10.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
48%
-10.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
53%
-12.3pp
59%
BTTS No
47%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Emelec v Independiente Del Valle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emelec EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.15/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.19
-23% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
21.3 Crosses 14.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Emelec vs Independiente Del Valle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emelec
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.41 xG 1.95
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
168 Passes 306
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-1 HT 1-1 Emelec Emelec EKV1
29.04.2023 Emelec Emelec 2-3 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
18.07.2022 Emelec Emelec 2-3 HT 1-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
28.02.2022 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 0-1 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
13.12.2021 Emelec Emelec 1-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
06.12.2021 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 3-1 HT 1-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1

Emelec 0-0 Independiente Del Valle — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emelec
0-0
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
0.39 xG 0.89
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
246 Passes 473
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
6 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Emelec vs Independiente Del Valle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emelec and Independiente Del Valle fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Emelec at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Emelec had 38% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 62%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.39 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Emelec and 2.00 for Independiente Del Valle.

What was the final score of Emelec vs Independiente Del Valle?

Emelec 0-0 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emelec vs Independiente Del Valle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emelec win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Emelec 42%, draw 29%, Independiente Del Valle 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Emelec) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Emelec) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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