Mafra 2-1 Torreense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.59
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.55
6+ Goals
8%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Torreense EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.40/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.15
-11% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.7 Crosses 18.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Torreense
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
1.36 xG 0.40
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
279 Passes 258
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Torreense Torreense 0-0 HT 0-0 Mafra Mafra POR2
21.07.2023 Torreense Torreense 1-0 HT 0-0 Mafra Mafra PRLK
15.04.2023 Mafra Mafra 1-0 HT 0-0 Torreense Torreense POR2
29.10.2022 Torreense Torreense 0-1 HT 0-0 Mafra Mafra POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra
2-1
AWAY Torreense
1.36 xG 1.05
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 9
352 Passes 321
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mafra vs Torreense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mafra squeezed past Torreense 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Mafra found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mafra had 51% of the ball to Torreense's 49%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.36 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Mafra had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mafra and 0.25 for Torreense.

What was the final score of Mafra vs Torreense?

Mafra 2-1 Torreense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra vs Torreense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mafra win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mafra 38%, draw 25%, Torreense 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mafra) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mafra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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