Montevideo Wanderers 0-2 Boston River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston River EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.05/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.13
-11% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Boston River
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
13.11.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-1 Boston River Boston River URU
23.07.2023 Boston River Boston River 0-1 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
02.04.2023 Boston River Boston River 0-1 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
24.10.2022 Boston River Boston River 2-2 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
12.09.2021 Boston River Boston River 1-3 HT 0-2 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
15.05.2021 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
0-2
AWAY Boston River
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Montevideo Wanderers vs Boston River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston River got the better of Montevideo Wanderers 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Boston River found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 53% of the ball to Boston River's 47%, shots finished 14-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montevideo Wanderers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 0.83 for Boston River.

What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs Boston River?

Montevideo Wanderers 0-2 Boston River in the Uruguay - Premier League on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs Boston River?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boston River win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 34%, draw 27%, Boston River 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boston River), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boston River) ✓ Under 2.5
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