Academia Puerto Cabello 2-2 Monagas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.5pp
34%
Draw
28%
+6.6pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.5pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Monagas EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.12/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.44
-7% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
23.4 Crosses 16.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Monagas
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.42 xG 0.88
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
260 Passes 290
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.07.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 2-0 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
24.04.2023 Monagas Monagas 3-2 HT 1-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
06.08.2022 Monagas Monagas 0-1 HT 0-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
15.04.2022 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 0-2 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
2-2
AWAY Monagas
3.20 xG 1.56
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
126 Passes 108
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
9 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Academia Puerto Cabello vs Monagas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academia Puerto Cabello and Monagas shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 34% / 26% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Academia Puerto Cabello had 51% of the ball to Monagas's 49%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 3.20 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Academia Puerto Cabello and 1.25 for Monagas.

What was the final score of Academia Puerto Cabello vs Monagas?

Academia Puerto Cabello 2-2 Monagas in the Venezuela - Premier League on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Puerto Cabello vs Monagas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Academia Puerto Cabello 40%, draw 34%, Monagas 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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