Bragantino 2-2 Ceara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 1 Apr 2025

Bragantino
2-2 HT 1-2
Ceara
📅01/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Bragantino vs Ceara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
4.4
6+ Goals
9%
21.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.73
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
11%
13.7
X/1
16%
4.53
X/2
8%
7.87
X/X
11%
4.22
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
11%
6.41
2/X
7%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bragantino v Ceara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceara EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.54/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.22
+15% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
301 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
22.6 Crosses 17.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7

Bragantino vs Ceara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Ceara
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.06 xG 1.05
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
331 Passes 288
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.08.2022 Bragantino Bragantino 1-1 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
30.04.2022 Ceara Ceara 0-1 HT 0-1 Bragantino Bragantino BR1
18.10.2021 Ceara Ceara 2-2 HT 0-1 Bragantino Bragantino BR1
01.07.2021 Bragantino Bragantino 0-0 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
18.01.2021 Ceara Ceara 1-2 HT 0-0 Bragantino Bragantino BR1
20.09.2020 Bragantino Bragantino 4-2 HT 3-1 Ceara Ceara BR1

Bragantino 2-2 Ceara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
2-2
AWAY Ceara
1.25 xG 0.87
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
419 Passes 226
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 12
37 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Ceara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bragantino and Ceara couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Bragantino at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bragantino had 62% of the ball to Ceara's 38%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.25 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bragantino and 1.00 for Ceara.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Ceara?

Bragantino 2-2 Ceara in the Brazil - Serie A on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Ceara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 46%, draw 29%, Ceara 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bragantino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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