AFC Bournemouth U21 4-3 Crewe Alexandra U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.18
Draw
19%
7.13
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.63
No
39%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
80%
-13.2pp
19%
Draw
11%
+7.4pp
14%
Away Win
8%
+5.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
57%
+4.1pp
39%
BTTS No
43%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Bournemouth U21 EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Crewe Alexandra U21 EU Bookmakers 11%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +11%
3.16/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/3.28
+2% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -12%
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
437 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Bournemouth U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Crewe Alexandra U21
6.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
14.05.2024 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 6-0 HT 6-0 Crewe Alexandra U21 Crewe Alexandra U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Crewe Alexandra U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Bournemouth U21 nicked a narrow win over Crewe Alexandra U21 4-3. Half-time: 3-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had AFC Bournemouth U21 as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Crewe Alexandra U21?

AFC Bournemouth U21 4-3 Crewe Alexandra U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Crewe Alexandra U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Bournemouth U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split AFC Bournemouth U21 67%, draw 19%, Crewe Alexandra U21 14%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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