Farul 3-0 Alba Iulia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - Cup, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.28
Draw
25%
4.95
Away
25%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.91
Over 2.5
57%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.51
No
47%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
3.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
31%
3.21
6+ Goals
12%
11.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.21 — our 31% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
74%
-23.5pp
25%
Draw
17%
+7.7pp
25%
Away Win
9%
+15.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
36%
+17.7pp
47%
BTTS No
64%
-17.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farul EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Alba Iulia EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -48%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
449 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farul
3-0
AWAY Alba Iulia
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 24
7 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Farul vs Alba Iulia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farul ran out comfortable winners over Alba Iulia 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Farul as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Farul had 60% of the ball to Alba Iulia's 40%, shots finished 12-24.

What was the final score of Farul vs Alba Iulia?

Farul 3-0 Alba Iulia in the Romania - Cup on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farul vs Alba Iulia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farul win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Farul 51%, draw 25%, Alba Iulia 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farul), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Farul) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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