Salzburg U19 1-0 Olympiakos U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
28%
2.75
6+ Goals
12%
7.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.67
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
17.85
X/1
15%
3.99
X/2
10%
14.85
X/X
12%
7.23
2/1
8%
20.7
2/2
5%
12.05
2/X
5%
20.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.2pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.1pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+7.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg U19 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos U19 EU Bookmakers 17%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
2.35/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.72
+10% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +103%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
37.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
22.7 Crosses 10.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salzburg U19
1-0
AWAY Olympiakos U19
1.33 xG 0.24
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
289 Passes 223
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
33 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salzburg U19 vs Olympiakos U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg U19 nicked a narrow win over Olympiakos U19 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Salzburg U19 as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Salzburg U19 had 55% of the ball to Olympiakos U19's 45%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 1.33 to 0.24.

What was the final score of Salzburg U19 vs Olympiakos U19?

Salzburg U19 1-0 Olympiakos U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg U19 vs Olympiakos U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Salzburg U19 55%, draw 23%, Olympiakos U19 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg U19) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salzburg U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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