Meksika 1-1 Belçika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 1 Apr 2026

📅01/04/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
20%
3.35
Away
54%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-1.1pp
20%
Draw
26%
-6.0pp
54%
Away Win
47%
+7.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.7pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meksika EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Belçika EU Bookmakers 50%
-20% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.74/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.64
-75% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +96% / -15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
12.1 Crosses 12.1
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meksika
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Belçika
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
457 Passes 351
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 25
8 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2017 Belçika Belçika 3-3 HT 1-1 Meksika Meksika HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meksika
1-1
AWAY Belçika
0.90 xG 0.30
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
424 Passes 478
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 10
9 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Meksika vs Belçika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meksika and Belçika shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Belçika at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Meksika had 48% of the ball to Belçika's 52%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 0.90 to 0.30.

What was the final score of Meksika vs Belçika?

Meksika 1-1 Belçika in the Friendlies on 01/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meksika vs Belçika?

Before kick-off our model rated an Belçika win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Meksika 26%, draw 20%, Belçika 54%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Belçika) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Belçika) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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