Shanghai Shenhua 4-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.78
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
3.46
Over 2.5
55%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
8.56
2-3 Goals
41%
2.38
4-5 Goals
25%
2.37
6+ Goals
12%
3.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.16
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
34.5
X/1
19%
3.63
X/2
5%
34.5
X/X
7%
14.9
2/1
5%
25.5
2/2
6%
34.5
2/X
7%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
82%
-16.8pp
20%
Draw
10%
+9.2pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+7.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
25%
+19.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
75%
-19.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.4pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions EU Bookmakers 9%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
1.29/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.59
-11% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -27%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
424 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
25.5 Crosses 9.7
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.22 xG 0.48
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
467 Passes 349
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2023 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 2-0 HT 1-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
04.06.2023 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0-1 HT 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
07.01.2023 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0-2 HT 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİNK
04.01.2023 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 5-1 HT 2-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİNK
23.12.2022 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 3-0 HT 1-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
29.10.2022 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-2 HT 0-1 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
4-0
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions
3.06 xG 0.32
77% Ball Possession 23%
30 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
808 Passes 197
93% Pass Accuracy 75%
43 Box Touches 5
27 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shanghai Shenhua vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Shenhua ran out comfortable winners over Cangzhou Mighty Lions 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shanghai Shenhua as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shanghai Shenhua had 77% of the ball to Cangzhou Mighty Lions's 23%, shots finished 30-9, expected goals 3.06 to 0.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Shenhua had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Shanghai Shenhua and 0.50 for Cangzhou Mighty Lions.

What was the final score of Shanghai Shenhua vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions?

Shanghai Shenhua 4-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Shenhua vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Shenhua win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Shenhua 66%, draw 20%, Cangzhou Mighty Lions 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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ÇİN More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
1 May 2024
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