Liverpool (K) 4-3 Chelsea (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 1 May 2024

Liverpool (K)
4-3 HT 0-1
Chelsea (K)
📅01/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2023/2024

Liverpool (K) vs Chelsea (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
9.57
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
63%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.96
Over 2.5
53%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.85
No
62%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
44%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
7%
+10.2pp
20%
Draw
14%
+5.9pp
63%
Away Win
79%
-16.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
30%
+17.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
70%
-17.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
50%
-11.5pp
62%
BTTS No
50%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Liverpool (K) v Chelsea (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool (K) EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea (K) EU Bookmakers 84%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.46/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/0.83
+84% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / –
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
250 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 488 · 85%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 44.6
7.0 Crosses 24.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.5

Liverpool (K) vs Chelsea (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool (K)
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Chelsea (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.29 xG 2.44
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
151 Passes 464
56% Pass Accuracy 78%
4 Box Touches 33
9 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.11.2023 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 5-1 HT 2-1 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
15.12.2019 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
13.03.2019 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 0-4 HT 0-2 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
28.10.2018 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
20.05.2018 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 2-3 HT 2-0 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
07.10.2017 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL

Liverpool (K) 4-3 Chelsea (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool (K)
4-3
AWAY Chelsea (K)
1.54 xG 2.57
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
201 Passes 374
63% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 42
12 Crosses 33
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Liverpool (K) vs Chelsea (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool (K) edged past Chelsea (K) 4-3. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Chelsea (K) carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Liverpool (K) had 39% of the ball to Chelsea (K)'s 61%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.54 to 2.57 — on chances, Chelsea (K) could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea (K) led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Liverpool (K) and 2.50 for Chelsea (K).

What was the final score of Liverpool (K) vs Chelsea (K)?

Liverpool (K) 4-3 Chelsea (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool (K) vs Chelsea (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Liverpool (K) 18%, draw 20%, Chelsea (K) 63%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Chelsea (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelsea (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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