Liverpool (K) vs Chelsea (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Liverpool (K) v Chelsea (K) — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool (K) vs Chelsea (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Liverpool (K) 4-3 Chelsea (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool (K) found just enough to beat Chelsea (K) 4-3. From 0-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
This one beat our numbers. Chelsea (K) carried 82% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (72%) came home.
Under the surface, Liverpool (K) had 39% of the ball to Chelsea (K)'s 61%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.54 to 2.57 — the balance of chances actually favoured Chelsea (K).
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea (K) led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Liverpool (K) and 2.50 for Chelsea (K).
Liverpool (K) vs Chelsea (K) Result & Final Score
Liverpool (K) 4 - 3 Chelsea (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Liverpool (K) vs Chelsea (K) Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 82%, with the full match-result split Liverpool (K) 7%, draw 11%, Chelsea (K) 82%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Chelsea (K)) went the other way.