Sassuolo (K) 5-6 Roma (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
7.18
Draw
27%
4.81
Away
47%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
11%
+14.8pp
27%
Draw
18%
+9.5pp
47%
Away Win
71%
-24.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
0.43/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.98
-54% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / +48%
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
198 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 470 · 84%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
13.0 Crosses 20.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo (K)
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Roma (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.44 xG 2.56
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
273 Passes 454
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 44
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.03.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
13.02.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
19.11.2023 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo (K)
5-6
AWAY Roma (K)
2.05 xG 1.16
50% Ball Possession 50%
22 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 0
257 Passes 264
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
32 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sassuolo (K) vs Roma (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma (K) squeezed past Sassuolo (K) 6-5 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 11 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Roma (K) as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 6-5 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sassuolo (K) had 50% of the ball to Roma (K)'s 50%, shots finished 22-15, expected goals 2.05 to 1.16 — on chances, Sassuolo (K) could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Roma (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Sassuolo (K) and 2.67 for Roma (K).

What was the final score of Sassuolo (K) vs Roma (K)?

Sassuolo (K) 5-6 Roma (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo (K) vs Roma (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo (K) 26%, draw 27%, Roma (K) 47%. The final score 5-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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