Grindavik 2-3 Fjölnir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.39
No
38%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.5pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.9pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grindavik EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.68/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.36
-4% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
373 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grindavik
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Fjölnir
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.08.2023 Fjölnir Fjölnir 5-1 HT 2-0 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
15.06.2023 Grindavik Grindavik 0-1 HT 0-1 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
18.08.2022 Fjölnir Fjölnir 4-3 HT 2-2 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
09.06.2022 Grindavik Grindavik 2-2 HT 1-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
28.07.2021 Fjölnir Fjölnir 2-1 HT 0-0 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
21.05.2021 Grindavik Grindavik 0-2 HT 0-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
POST-MATCH Grindavik vs Fjölnir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fjölnir edged past Grindavik 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Fjölnir found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fjölnir led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Grindavik and 2.67 for Fjölnir.

What was the final score of Grindavik vs Fjölnir?

Grindavik 2-3 Fjölnir in the Iceland - 1st Division on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grindavik vs Fjölnir?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fjölnir win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Grindavik 34%, draw 28%, Fjölnir 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fjölnir), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fjölnir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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