Havelse 1-1 Bremer SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-8.8pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.0pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+8.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havelse EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Bremer SV EU Bookmakers 18%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +16%
1.09/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.40
-50% / +104% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +47%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
415 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Havelse
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Bremer SV
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.08.2023 Bremer SV Bremer SV 4-1 HT 2-0 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
05.02.2023 Bremer SV Bremer SV 0-4 HT 0-1 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
17.08.2022 Havelse Havelse 1-1 HT 0-0 Bremer SV Bremer SV ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Havelse
1-1
AWAY Bremer SV
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Havelse vs Bremer SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havelse and Bremer SV shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Havelse at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Havelse had 47% of the ball to Bremer SV's 53%, shots finished 4-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Havelse and 1.67 for Bremer SV.

What was the final score of Havelse vs Bremer SV?

Havelse 1-1 Bremer SV in the Germany - Regional League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havelse vs Bremer SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Havelse win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Havelse 58%, draw 19%, Bremer SV 24%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Havelse) ✗ Over 2.5
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