Sydney II 1-3 St George City FA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒12:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.75
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
43%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.59
Over 2.5
48%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.49
No
52%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
23%
+8.9pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.0pp
42%
Away Win
55%
-13.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
35%
+16.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
65%
-16.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
63%
-14.6pp
52%
BTTS No
37%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney II EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY St George City FA EU Bookmakers 60%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.62/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/0.99
+17% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +69%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.2 Crosses 20.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney II
1W-1D-0L
AWAY St George City FA
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.53 xG 1.24
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
356 Passes 314
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
15.07.2023 St George City FA St George City FA 3-4 HT 1-2 Sydney II Sydney II AVNPL
02.04.2023 Sydney II Sydney II 2-2 HT 0-1 St George City FA St George City FA AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sydney II vs St George City FA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St George City FA saw off Sydney II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St George City FA as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sydney II had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Sydney II and 2.50 for St George City FA.

What was the final score of Sydney II vs St George City FA?

Sydney II 1-3 St George City FA in the Australia - National Premier League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney II vs St George City FA?

Before kick-off our model rated an St George City FA win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sydney II 32%, draw 25%, St George City FA 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St George City FA) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St George City FA) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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