Libertad vs LDU Quito Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Libertad v LDU Quito — Team-Based Signals
Libertad vs LDU Quito Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
LDU Quito
EKV1
4-2
HT 1-2
Libertad
EKV1
1-0
HT 0-0
LDU Quito
CON CSA
1-0
HT 0-0
Libertad
CON CSA
1-1
HT 1-0
LDU Quito
CON CSA
1-0
HT 1-0
Libertad
CON CSA
Libertad 2-3 LDU Quito — Actual Match Statistics
LDU Quito edged past Libertad 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had LDU Quito as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Libertad had 57% of the ball to LDU Quito's 43%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.97 to 0.55 — on chances, Libertad could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Libertad and 1.50 for LDU Quito.
What was the final score of Libertad vs LDU Quito?
Libertad 2-3 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Libertad vs LDU Quito?
Before kick-off our model rated an LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Libertad 21%, draw 31%, LDU Quito 48%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LDU Quito) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.