Hearts of Oak 0-1 Accra Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 1 May 2024

Hearts of Oak
0-1 HT 0-0
Accra Lions
📅01/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Gana - Premier League – 2023/2024

Hearts of Oak vs Accra Lions Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.38
Over 2.5
40%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.53
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
52%
+4.6pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.8pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
69%
-9.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
31%
+9.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.1pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hearts of Oak v Accra Lions — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts of Oak EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Accra Lions EU Bookmakers 21%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.50/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.73
+16% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
352 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 66%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Hearts of Oak vs Accra Lions Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hearts of Oak
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Accra Lions
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.11.2023 Accra Lions 1-2 HT 1-1 Hearts of Oak Hearts of Oak GANA
19.12.2021 Hearts of Oak Hearts of Oak 2-0 HT 0-0 Accra Lions GANA

Hearts of Oak 0-1 Accra Lions — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hearts of Oak
0-1
AWAY Accra Lions
52% Ball Possession 48%
29 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Hearts of Oak vs Accra Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Accra Lions edged past Hearts of Oak 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Hearts of Oak carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hearts of Oak had 52% of the ball to Accra Lions's 48%, shots finished 29-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hearts of Oak had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hearts of Oak and 0.50 for Accra Lions.

What was the final score of Hearts of Oak vs Accra Lions?

Hearts of Oak 0-1 Accra Lions in the Gana - Premier League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts of Oak vs Accra Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts of Oak win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Hearts of Oak 56%, draw 24%, Accra Lions 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hearts of Oak) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hearts of Oak) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →