Hoi King 3-2 Shatin SA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
3.17
Draw
14%
3.35
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.59
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
5%
2/1
16%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
28%
+19.1pp
14%
Draw
26%
-13.0pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.2pp
35%
Under 2.5
35%
+0.2pp
65%
Over 2.5
65%
-0.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.4pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoi King EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Shatin SA EU Bookmakers 49%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.33/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.62/1.47
-73% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / -34%
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoi King
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Shatin SA
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Shatin SA Shatin SA 5-1 HT 3-0 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
19.03.2023 Shatin SA Shatin SA 2-5 HT 0-1 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
08.01.2023 Hoi King Hoi King 1-2 HT 1-1 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
12.12.2021 Hoi King Hoi King 2-1 HT 1-0 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoi King
3-2
AWAY Shatin SA
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Hoi King vs Shatin SA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoi King edged past Shatin SA 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hoi King as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Hoi King had 45% of the ball to Shatin SA's 55%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Hoi King and 2.50 for Shatin SA.

What was the final score of Hoi King vs Shatin SA?

Hoi King 3-2 Shatin SA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoi King vs Shatin SA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoi King win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hoi King 47%, draw 14%, Shatin SA 39%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoi King), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hoi King) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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HK2 More Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division
1 May 2024
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