Ismaily vs Al Ahly Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ismaily v Al Ahly — Team-Based Signals
Ismaily vs Al Ahly Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Ismaily
MSR
1-0
HT 0-0
Ismaily
MSR
0-1
HT 0-0
Al Ahly
MSR
0-0
HT 0-0
Ismaily
MSR
0-4
HT 0-3
Al Ahly
MSR
1-1
HT 1-0
Ismaily
MSR
Ismaily 1-2 Al Ahly — Actual Match Statistics
Al Ahly squeezed past Ismaily 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Ismaily had 43% of the ball to Al Ahly's 57%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 1.22 to 0.57 — on chances, Ismaily could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ismaily and 1.67 for Al Ahly.
What was the final score of Ismaily vs Al Ahly?
Ismaily 1-2 Al Ahly in the Egypt - Premier League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ismaily vs Al Ahly?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Ismaily 19%, draw 25%, Al Ahly 56%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.