Kenya U20 2-3 Fas U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika U20 Uluslar Cup, 1 May 2025

📅01/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.34
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
16%
+4.8pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.8pp
49%
Away Win
59%
-9.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.1pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kenya U20 EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Fas U20 EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% /
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
268 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
Crosses 11.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kenya U20
2-3
AWAY Fas U20
1.72 xG 4.54
38% Ball Possession 62%
17 Total Shots 22
7 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 4
197 Passes 333
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 34
9 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kenya U20 vs Fas U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fas U20 nicked a narrow win over Kenya U20 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fas U20 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kenya U20 had 38% of the ball to Fas U20's 62%, shots finished 17-22, expected goals 1.72 to 4.54 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fas U20's control.

What was the final score of Kenya U20 vs Fas U20?

Kenya U20 2-3 Fas U20 in the Afrika U20 Uluslar Cup on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kenya U20 vs Fas U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fas U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kenya U20 21%, draw 30%, Fas U20 49%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fas U20) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fas U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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