Radnik Sesvete 1-3 Dubrava Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 1 May 2025

📅01/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.8pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Sesvete EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.02/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.37
-5% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Sesvete
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.02.2025 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 3-0 HT 2-0 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
21.09.2024 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
26.04.2024 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete 1-1 HT 1-0 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnik Sesvete
1-3
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb
59% Ball Possession 41%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Radnik Sesvete vs Dubrava Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dubrava Zagreb beat Radnik Sesvete 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Dubrava Zagreb found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Radnik Sesvete had 59% of the ball to Dubrava Zagreb's 41%, shots finished 6-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Radnik Sesvete had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Radnik Sesvete and 0.33 for Dubrava Zagreb.

What was the final score of Radnik Sesvete vs Dubrava Zagreb?

Radnik Sesvete 1-3 Dubrava Zagreb in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Sesvete vs Dubrava Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnik Sesvete win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Radnik Sesvete 39%, draw 28%, Dubrava Zagreb 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Radnik Sesvete) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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