01/05/2025
·
17:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Naft Al-Basra vs Duhok Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
48%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
28%
X/X
26%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
17%
33%
Draw
29%
45%
Away Win
54%
32%
BTTS Yes
33%
68%
BTTS No
67%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naft Al-Basra v Duhok — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Naft Al-Basra
EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY
Duhok
EU Bookmakers 57%
-30% /
-30%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-100%
/
-17%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
45%
Ball Possession
55%
7
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Target
4
3
Corners
4
260 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
346 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Naft Al-Basra vs Duhok
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Duhok ran out comfortable winners over Naft Al-Basra 3-0 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Duhok as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (68%) landed while under 2.5 goals (70%) missed.
What was the final score of Naft Al-Basra vs Duhok?
Naft Al-Basra 0-3 Duhok in the Iraq - Premier League on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naft Al-Basra vs Duhok?
Before kick-off our model rated an Duhok win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Naft Al-Basra 23%, draw 33%, Duhok 45%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Duhok), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Duhok)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
IRAK
More Iraq - Premier League
1 May 2025