Rosenborg 1-1 Kristiansund BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 1 May 2025

📅01/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.34
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.12
2-3 Goals
43%
2.02
4-5 Goals
26%
2.82
6+ Goals
12%
7.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.59
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
18.95
X/1
19%
3.95
X/2
6%
16.35
X/X
8%
7.76
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.55
2/2
6%
13.3
2/X
5%
21.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.55 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
70%
-8.2pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.9pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Kristiansund BK EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +8%
1.90/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.84
-6% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +36%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
33.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
22.2 Crosses 15.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosenborg
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kristiansund BK
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.13 xG 1.62
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
388 Passes 260
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 0-4 HT 0-1 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
26.05.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 2-1 HT 0-1 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
14.03.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 2-2 HT 1-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK HAZ
02.10.2022 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 4-4 HT 3-1 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
25.06.2022 Rosenborg Rosenborg 3-1 HT 2-1 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
03.10.2021 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 1-0 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosenborg
1-1
AWAY Kristiansund BK
3.14 xG 0.85
73% Ball Possession 27%
26 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 1
15 Corners 2
537 Passes 160
90% Pass Accuracy 71%
69 Box Touches 11
39 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rosenborg vs Kristiansund BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosenborg and Kristiansund BK couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Rosenborg at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rosenborg had 73% of the ball to Kristiansund BK's 27%, shots finished 26-2, expected goals 3.14 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosenborg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Rosenborg and 1.50 for Kristiansund BK.

What was the final score of Rosenborg vs Kristiansund BK?

Rosenborg 1-1 Kristiansund BK in the Norway - Eliteserien on 01/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosenborg vs Kristiansund BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg 61%, draw 21%, Kristiansund BK 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rosenborg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rosenborg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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