Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 Leganes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 1 May 2026

Deportivo La Coruna
2-1 HT 0-0
Leganes
📅01/05/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Spain - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Deportivo La Coruna vs Leganes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.51
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.19
6+ Goals
9%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.9
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
4%
15.6
X/1
16%
3.96
X/2
5%
11.35
X/X
13%
5.64
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.25
2/2
8%
9.41
2/X
5%
17.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
61%
-2.1pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.0pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo La Coruna v Leganes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Leganes EU Bookmakers 20%
-8% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
1.49/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.50
-3% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
17.8 Crosses 14.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Deportivo La Coruna vs Leganes Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Leganes
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.47 xG 0.81
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
314 Passes 294
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.09.2025 Leganes Leganes 2-2 HT 2-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
20.04.2018 Leganes Leganes 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS1
09.12.2017 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS1
25.02.2017 Leganes Leganes 4-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS1
22.09.2016 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-2 HT 1-0 Leganes Leganes İS1

Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 Leganes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
2-1
AWAY Leganes
1.54 xG 1.84
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
457 Passes 306
91% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Coruna vs Leganes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Coruna edged past Leganes 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo La Coruna as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Deportivo La Coruna had 58% of the ball to Leganes's 42%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.54 to 1.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Leganes led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Deportivo La Coruna and 1.60 for Leganes.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Coruna vs Leganes?

Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 Leganes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Coruna vs Leganes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Coruna 59%, draw 22%, Leganes 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna) ✓ Over 2.5
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